The climate of tension between the two countries has been increasing in recent weeks. The United States maintains an unprecedented deployment of forces in the Caribbean, while Maduro responds by entrenching himself in the territory, mobilizing the Bolivarian National Armed Forces and armed civilian groups. While there are no visible signs of a military fracture, experts warn that internal unrest could emerge in the face of escalation.
The growing US military presence – 20% of its naval force remains deployed in the Caribbean – fuels perceptions that the conflict could escalate. If he wanted, Trump could attack Venezuela directly from ships, or resort to surgical missions on the territory. Despite the strategy of pressure and psychological warfare against the regime, Trump has opened the door to direct dialogue with Nicolás Maduro.