It’s an optical effect. The left celebrates the non-existent shoulder. At the end of the autumn election period, the center-right group confirmed its leadership in 13 of the 20 regions and doubled its consensus compared to the previous regional election. Italy is the big blue dot. The scenario is completely reversed compared to 2015 when there were 15 regions in the hands of the Democratic Party. The center-right is healthy and the poll results prove it. Schlein and Conte’s optical effect on the non-existent shoulder is certified in the numbers. Italy’s sibling, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s party, received twice as many votes (in absolute terms) as in 2020. Five years ago it managed to collect 548 thousand votes. Today he took 801 thousand. Over 252 thousand votes in five years. In percentage terms, the party with a relative majority is plus 46%. Forza Italia always increases from 344 thousand votes to 441 thousand. With a positive balance of 97 thousand votes. A good added value of 28%. Black balance for M5 which lost 162 thousand votes in five years with minus 34%. In Veneto the Fratelli d’Italia increased, from 196 thousand votes in 2020 to 312 thousand on Monday. More than 116 thousand votes and a positive balance of 59%. Fi also increased, from 73 thousand votes to 105 in 2025. With an increase of 43%. The collapse was also in Veneto due to the M5 splitting half the vote. In Campania, where leaders rushed to celebrate the victory of the broad camp led by Roberto Fico, the vote fell. The Democratic Party rose from 712 thousand votes in 2020 to 646 thousand votes, with minus 9.2%. Fdi doubled the vote share in the same region, from 140 thousand to 239 thousand votes. Forza Italia also experienced an increase in votes. In 2020 the consensus was 121 thousand, today it is 215 thousand. With more than 93 thousand votes. MS5 fell from 233 thousand votes to 182 thousand with minus 21%. Finally, in Puglia, Fratelli d’Italia confirmed the growth trend, from 211 thousand in 2020 to 248 thousand currently. The balance is positive by 17%.
The shoulder thrust is just a fantasy. The center-right has conquered and re-conquered Marche, Calabria and Veneto. Wide fields retain the leadership of Campania, Puglia and Tuscany. Valle d’Aosta went to a civic council close to the Democratic Party. In total, the government coalition leads 13 of the 20 regions. Forza Italia in a note noted this case: in Val d’Aosta the Forza Italia-La Renaissance listing gained 10.1%. The blue movement went from zero seats to 3 and entered Regional government for the first time. Meanwhile, in the Aosta municipal elections, FI led the center-right parties with 12.5%. In Marche the growth was 2.7% (from 5.9% in 2020 to 8.6%), with the number of seats increasing from 2 to 3. Fi also recorded growth in Tuscany (+1.9%) from 4.3% to 6.2% and seats increasing from 1 to 2. In Calabria Forza Italia gained 18%, with 7 seats. If to Forza Italia’s outstanding percentage we also add the significant percentage obtained from the list of Italian president Roberto Occhiuto and the list of subsequent Forza Azzurri, the overall result reaches 31.4%. Regarding Puglia, the percentage of Italians rose from 8.9% to 9.1% (+0.2) and gained one more seat (from 4 to 5) compared to 2020. In Veneto, where Forza Italia was not present in the Region’s governing council, growth of +2.7% was recorded, rising from 3.6% in the last Regional elections to 6.3%, and gained one more seat (from 2 to 3). Finally, the election results in Campania, where the percentage of consensus increased from 5.2% in the 2020 regional elections to 10.7% (+5.6%) and the number of seats tripled from 2 to 6. Antonio Noto, a pollster, gave Giornale an analysis of the flow: “In Campania we recorded a shift of 20% of the vote from De Luca to the center-right compared to the last regional election, the same 20% moved from the wing center-right to Fico’s coalition.
In Puglia, most of the center-right voters, who voted for Fitto in the last regional election, have switched to Decaro. But in Veneto, most center-right and center-left voters remain loyal.”
