The new Catalan elections would leave the PSC as the leader of the race, Esquerra would rise to second place and Junts and Aliança Catalana, tied, would share third position. This is the x-ray left by the latest barometer of the Center d’Estudis d’Opinió de la Generalitat (CEO), published on Monday. Carles Puigdemont’s supporters would lose between 15 and 16 seats.
The current investiture majority is repeated and despite the rise of AC, the independence movement does not reach the majority. The PSC, which now has 42 deputies, is losing momentum even if it would obtain 38 and 40, repeating itself as the first force. The ERC, which gains between two and three seats compared to the current representation, would be left with 22-23. The biggest loser is Junts, who loses between 15 and 16 seats, which go to Sílvia Orriols’ team. Both formations have between 19 and 20 deputies.
He’s not the only one surprise Vox (13-14) would also beat PP (12-13). The Municipalities would be left with six seats and the CUP from three to four. The sample was collected between October 13 and November 11, just when Junts decided to stop supporting Pedro Sánchez.
Chief Executive Officer Juan Rodríguez Teruel explained that the calculation was “prudent.” Aliança Catalana, in fact, is the third force in terms of direct voting intention while Junts is fourth. Rodríguez assured that in the calculation of the number of places another factor was taken into account which ends up leaving the picture of a technical draw. For example, the memory of the vote.
When asked which leader he would prefer to hold the presidency of the Generalitat, he once again saw a tie. While 21% of respondents mentioned Salvador Illa, Carles Puigdemont and Sílvia Orriols are in second place with 8%. In this year’s first barometer the AC leader didn’t even appear (that’s an open question. ERC leader Oriol Junqueras got 7%).
Housing remains the main problem for Catalans, increasing by 10 percentage points compared to the last barometer. 31% of those interviewed mentioned it. In second place, very far away, is immigration (10%) and then the insecurity of citizens (9%). The sample was 2,000 people and the information was collected in person.
