LWill Poles become Finnish? As has long been done in Helsinki, they also started preparing bags, which they filled according to instructions received from the government: water, transistors, flashlights, batteries, cash if electronic payments were no longer possible… This was new, and it was a sign. Until now it has only been limited to Ukraine, attacked in 2014 and then invaded in 2022, the Russian war has ended.
“Don’t kid yourself: this is war”emphasized in a serious tone, at the end of September, the Polish Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, before an audience of European experts and senior officials at the Warsaw Security Forum. “Like it or not, this is our war.” ” WE “ : for us, Europe. This is no longer just about the trauma of Poles or Balts. Drones that cause problems around strategic points in European airspace are now roaming Belgium and Frankfurt, Germany.
The perception of this threat is clearly more acute in Tallinn or Warsaw than in Seville or Palermo, but in all European capitals and headquarters, the climate has changed. The current confrontation between Russia and NATO countries is more than just a hypothesis. That makes sense.
Quietly, the Russian aggression we have endured for nearly four years has shifted in scale. It is no longer just Ukraine that is under attack; the conflict moved to Europe. Hybrid warfare (cyber attacks, assaults, drones, sabotage, disinformation) has increased spectacularly. Vladimir Putin’s imperial vision is beyond doubt.
We then entered another dimension: Ukraine was our stronghold, and a stepping stone for him. While they are not as dark as Donald Tusk, European leaders have recognized this. Intelligence agencies and senior military officials are increasing the number of warnings, while avoiding being alarmist: these warnings are not for tomorrow, but for 2030. But in terms of planning, 2030 is tomorrow.
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