Rome, November 14 (Adnkronos) – The war between Russia and Ukraine will soon cross the 4 year mark. In a picture that seems almost crystallized, Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky lead two countries that, for different reasons, are grappling with increasingly intractable problems. For Adnkronos, General Leonardo Tricarico, former Air Force Chief of Staff and current president of the Icsa Foundation, highlighted the conflict and its impact.
“I don’t think anyone is capable of making an accurate assessment of the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front, let alone regarding short-term military prospects – he said –. The pulse of the situation can only be felt when it is in the theater, open sources, public sources, more diversified but perhaps for this reason more dangerous and often a means of disinformation and propaganda. The same applies to social media.”
“Having said this – he continued – we are not wrong if we evaluate the fundamentals of the ongoing war, which sees both rivals in increasingly dire straits. Both are undermanned, whose lives continue to be of less interest, despite different levels of human evil. Putin is of course more sinister, who can also count on a much larger contingent for recruits. The weapons systems that Ukraine has are still deficient, imprecise and vulnerable to Russia. Attacking indiscriminately is not only a barbaric choice, but also a barbaric choice. reveals the unavailability, in numbers and types, of effective weapons.”
“Zelensky remains essentially incapable of striking deep targets that determine Russia’s military capacity, both for the American resistance to supply Tomahawk missiles and for the European resistance and other donor countries to provide their cruise missiles, with which Kiev can penetrate Russia’s defenses further and more effectively. In addition, both have to face other problems, Zelensky with his ‘clean hands’ which Putin will try to reinforce as a factor of Ukraine’s weakness, while for Putin, the ongoing and possibly upcoming sanctions will start to bite in the way which is more annoying and effective”.
In the end – the general conclusion – it cannot be ruled out that we are still faced with the fluctuating tactical phase, which we have experienced on other occasions, with limited progress on the field, a tug-of-war in which no one gives up but retreats a little or tries to gain ground. Against the backdrop of the scenario getting worse for both of them. The hope is that, sooner or later, the growing pains of both will become less comfortable than an agreement even if deemed unfair.”
