The war between Russia and Ukraine will pass the 4 year mark. In a picture that seems almost crystallized, Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky lead two countries that, for different reasons, are grappling with increasingly intractable problems. For Adnkronos, the focus is on conflict and its impact General Leonardo Tricaricoformer Chief of Staff of the Air Force and current president of the ICSA Foundation.
“I don’t think anyone is capable of making an accurate assessment of the situation Russian Ukrainian Front and even more so regarding short-term military prospects – he said –. The pulse of this situation can only be felt when it is in the theater, open sources, public sources, more diverse but perhaps for this reason more dangerous and often a means of disinformation and propaganda. The same goes for social media.”
Putin and Zelensky are in trouble, that’s why
“Given this – he continued – there is no harm in evaluating the basis of the ongoing war, which they see both competitors are in clear and increasing trouble. Both lack humans, whose lives are of little interest, despite differing levels of human evil. Of course it’s scarier Putinwho can also count on a much larger contingent to recruit. The weapons system is deficient for Ukraine, inaccurate and vulnerable for Russia. Attacking indiscriminately was not only a barbaric option but demonstrated the unavailability of effective weapons, both in number and type.”
“Zelensky then they remain fundamentally incapable of striking deep targets that determine Russia’s military capacity, both for the American resistance to supply Tomahawk missiles and for the European resistance and other donor countries to provide their cruise missiles, with which Kiev can penetrate the Russian rear further and more effectively. Furthermore, both will have to face other problems, Zelensky with his ‘clean hands’ which Putin will try to reinforce as a factor in Ukraine’s weakness, while for Putin, existing and possible sanctions will begin to have a more annoying and effective impact.”
In the end – the general conclusion – it cannot be ruled out that we are still facing it fluctuating tactical phases, experienced on other occasionswith limited progress on the field, a tug-of-war where no one gives up but backs off a bit or tries to gain position. Against the backdrop of the scenario getting worse for both of them. The hope is that, sooner or later, the growing pains of both will become less comfortable than an agreement even if deemed unfair.”
